Financial strength
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Market conditions
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Few competing suppliers or substantial and durable advantage in location, cost, or technology. Demand is strong and growing
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Few competing suppliers or better than average location, cost, or technology but this situation may not last. Demand is strong and stable
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Project has no advantage in location, cost, or technology. Demand is adequate and stable
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Project has worse than average location, cost, or technology. Demand is weak and declining
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Financial ratios (eg, debt service coverage ratio (DSCR), loan life coverage ratio (LLCR), project life coverage ratio (PLCR), and debt-to-equity ratio)
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Strong financial ratios considering the level of project risk; very robust economic assumptions
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Strong to acceptable financial ratios considering the level of project risk; robust project economic assumptions
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Standard financial ratios considering the level of project risk
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Aggressive financial ratios considering the level of project risk
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Stress analysis
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The project can meet its financial obligations under sustained, severely stressed economic or sectoral conditions
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The project can meet its financial obligations under normal stressed economic or sectoral conditions. The project is only likely to default under severe economic conditions
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The project is vulnerable to stresses that are not uncommon through an economic cycle, and may default in a normal downturn
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The project is likely to default unless conditions improve soon
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Financial structure
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Duration of the credit compared to the duration of the project
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Useful life of the project significantly exceeds tenor of the loan
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Useful life of the project exceeds tenor of the loan
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Useful life of the project exceeds tenor of the loan
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Useful life of the project may not exceed tenor of the loan
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Amortisation schedule
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Amortising debt
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Amortising debt
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Amortising debt repayments with limited bullet payment
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Bullet repayment or amortising debt repayments with high bullet repayment
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Political and legal environment
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Political risk, including transfer risk, considering project type and mitigants
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Very low exposure; strong mitigation instruments, if needed
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Low exposure; satisfactory mitigation instruments, if needed
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Moderate exposure; fair mitigation instruments
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High exposure; no or weak mitigation instruments
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Force majeure risk (war, civil unrest, etc)
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Low exposure
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Acceptable exposure
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Standard protection
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Significant risks, not fully mitigated
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Government support and project's importance for the country over the long term
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Project of strategic importance for the country (preferably export-oriented). Strong support from Government
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Project considered important for the country. Good level of support from Government
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Project may not be strategic but brings unquestionable benefits for the country. Support from Government may not be explicit
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Project not key to the country. No or weak support from Government
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Stability of legal and regulatory environment (risk of change in law
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Favourable and stable regulatory environment over the long term
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Favourable and stable regulatory environment over the medium term
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Regulatory changes can be predicted with a fair level of certainty
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Current or future regulatory issues may affect the project
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Acquisition of all necessary supports and approvals for such relief from local content laws
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Strong
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Satisfactory
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Fair
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Weak
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Enforceability of contracts, collateral and security
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Contracts, collateral and security are enforceable
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Contracts, collateral and security are enforceable
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Contracts, collateral and security are considered enforceable even if certain non-key issues may exist
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There are unresolved key issues for actual enforcement of contracts, collateral and security
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Transaction characteristics
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Design and technology risk
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Fully proven technology and design
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Fully proven technology and design
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Proven technology and design and start-up issues are mitigated by a strong completion package
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Unproven technology and design; technology issues exist and/or complex design
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Construction risk
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Permitting and siting
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All permits have been obtained
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Some permits are still outstanding but their receipt is considered very likely
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Some permits are still outstanding but the permitting process is well defined and they are considered routine
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Key permits still need to be obtained and are not considered routine. Significant conditions may be attached
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Type of construction contract
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Fixed-price date-certain turnkey construction EPC (engineering and procurement contract)
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Fixed-price date-certain turnkey construction EPC
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Fixed-price date-certain turnkey construction contract with one or several contractors
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No or partial fixed-price turnkey contract and/or interfacing issues with multiple contractors
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Completion guarantees
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Substantial liquidated damages, supported by financial substance and/or strong completion guarantee from sponsors with excellent financial standing
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Significant liquidated damages, supported by financial substance and/or completion guarantee from sponsors with good financial standing
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Adequate liquidated damages, supported by financial substance and/or completion guarantee from sponsors with good financial standing
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Inadequate liquidated damages or not supported by financial substance or weak completion guarantees
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Track record and financial strength of contractor in constructing similar projects
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Strong
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Good
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Satisfactory
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Weak
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Operating risk
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Scope and nature of operations and maintenance (O & M) contracts
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Strong long-term O&M contract, preferably with contractual performance incentives, and/or O&M reserve accounts
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Long-term O&M contract, and/or O&M reserve accounts
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Limited O&M contract or O&M reserve account
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No O&M contract risk of high operational cost overruns beyond mitigants
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Operator's expertise, track record, and financial strength
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Very strong, or committed technical assistance of the sponsors
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Strong
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Acceptable
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Limited/weak, or local operator dependent on local authorities
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Off-take risk
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(a) If there is a take-or-pay or fixed-price off-take contract:
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Excellent creditworthiness of off-taker; strong termination clauses; tenor of contract comfortably exceeds the maturity of the debt
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Good creditworthiness of off-taker; strong termination clauses; tenor of contract exceeds the maturity of the debt
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Acceptable financial standing of off-taker; normal termination clauses; tenor of contract generally matches the maturity of the debt
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Weak off-taker; weak termination clauses; tenor of contract does not exceed the maturity of the debt
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(b) If there is no take-or-pay or fixed-price off-take contract:
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Project produces essential services or a commodity sold widely on a world market; output can readily be absorbed at projected prices, even at lower than historic market growth rates
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Project produces essential services or a commodity sold widely on a regional market that will absorb it at projected prices at historical growth rates
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Commodity is sold on a limited market that may absorb it only at lower than projected prices
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Project output is demanded by only one or a few buyers or is not generally sold on an organised market
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Supply risk
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Price, volume and transportation risk of feed-stocks; supplier's track record and financial strength
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Long-term supply contract with supplier of excellent financial standing
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Long-term supply contract with supplier of good financial standing
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Long-term supply contract with supplier of good financial standing - a degree of price risk may remain
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Short-term supply contract or long-term supply contract with financially weak supplier - a degree of price risk definitely remains
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Reserve risks (eg, natural resource development)
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Independently audited, proven and developed reserves well in excess of requirements over lifetime of the project
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Independently audited, proven and developed reserves in excess of requirements over the lifetime of the project
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Proven reserves can supply the project adequately through the maturity of the debt
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Project relies to some extent on potential and undeveloped reserves
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Strength of sponsor
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Sponsor's track record, financial strength, and country/sector experience
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Strong sponsor with excellent track record and high financial standing
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Good sponsor with satisfactory track record and good financial standing
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Adequate sponsor with adequate track record and good financial standing
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Weak sponsor with no or questionable track record and/or financial weaknesses
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Sponsor support, as evidenced by equity, ownership clause and incentive to inject additional cash if necessary
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Strong. Project is highly strategic for the sponsor (core business - long-term strategy)
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Good. Project is strategic for the sponsor (core business - long-term strategy)
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Acceptable. Project is considered important for the sponsor (core business)
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Limited. Project is not key to sponsor's long-term strategy or core business
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Security package
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Assignment of contracts and accounts
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Fully comprehensive
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Comprehensive
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Acceptable
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Weak
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Pledge of assets, taking into account quality, value and liquidity of assets
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First perfected security interest in all project assets, contracts, permits and accounts necessary to run the project
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Perfected security interest in all project assets, contracts, permits and accounts necessary to run the project
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Acceptable security interest in all project assets, contracts, permits and accounts necessary to run the project
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Little security or collateral for lenders; weak negative pledge clause
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Lender's control over cash flow (eg, cash sweeps, independent escrow accounts)
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Strong
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Satisfactory
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Fair
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Weak
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Strength of the covenant package (mandatory prepayments, payment deferrals, payment cascade, dividend restrictions, etc)
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Covenant package is strong for this type of project
Project may issue no additional debt
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Covenant package is satisfactory for this type of project
Project may issue extremely limited additional debt
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Covenant package is fair for this type of project
Project may issue limited additional debt
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Covenant package is insufficient for this type of project
Project may issue unlimited additional debt
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Reserve funds (debt service, O&M, renewal and replacement, unforeseen events, etc)
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Longer than average coverage period, all reserve funds fully funded in cash or letters of credit from highly rated bank
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Average coverage period, all reserve funds fully funded
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Average coverage period, all reserve funds fully funded
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Shorter than average coverage period, reserve funds funded from operating cash flows
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